Cover -- Title page -- Copyright information -- Contents -- Instructor Guide -- Preface -- Part I Defining Foreign Policy -- 1 -- I. America First Foreign Policy -- Trade Deals Working For All Americans -- II. Remarks by the President on Winning the Nobel Peace Prize -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 2 Allure of Normalcy -- I. -- II. -- III. -- IV. -- 3 A Better Internationalism -- A Very Wrong Picture -- One Planet -- Goals, Millennium Style -- Reversing Climate Change -- Nuclear Restraint -- Conventional Forbearance, Too -- Control Challenges -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 4 Pull Back -- Action and Reaction -- Fighting Identity -- Friends Without Benefits -- A Nimbler Strategy -- Restraint in Practice -- Letting Go -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 5 Worldwide Threat Assessment -- Cyber -- Strategic Assessment -- Risk -- Costs -- Attribution -- Deterrence -- Threat Actors -- Russia -- China -- Iran -- North Korea -- Terrorists -- Integrity of Information -- Counterintelligence -- Terrorism -- Weapons of Mass Destruction and Proliferation -- Iran Preserving Nuclear Weapons Option -- North Korea Developing WMD-Applicable Capabilities -- China’s Expanding Nuclear Forces -- Russia’s New Intermediate-Range Cruise Missile -- WMD Security in Syria -- Space and Counterspace -- Transnational Organized Crime -- Drug Trafficking -- Criminals Profiting from Global Instability -- Corruption -- Human Trafficking -- Wildlife Trafficking -- Theft of Cultural Properties, Artifacts, and Antiquities -- Economics and Natural Resources -- Energy and Commodities -- Macroeconomic Stability -- Human Security -- Critical Trends Converging -- Infectious Disease Continues to Threaten Human Security Worldwide -- Extreme Weather Exacerbating Risks to Global Food and Water Security -- Increase in Global Instability Risk -- Critical Thinking Questions -- Part II Foreign-Policy Challenges -- 6 Growing Together: Economic Ties between the United States and Mexico -- A Major Transition in the U.S. Labor Market -- The Role of Trade in Economic Transition -- Too Many Scapegoats—Too Few Solutions -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 7 A Framework for U.S. Foreign Policy toward China -- Policy Options for the United States -- Problems with Accommodation and Untrammeled Rivalry -- Elements of a Successful Option 3 -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 8 NATO’s Strategic Adaptation, the Warsaw Summit and Beyond -- A 360-Degree View of Adaptation -- More than a RAP Sheet -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 9 ISIS and the Third Wave of Jihadism -- Bitter Inheritance -- Sectarian War -- Rational Savagery -- New Wave -- Recruiting Tactics -- Hearts and Minds -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 10 The Outlook for Energy Policy under a Trump Administration -- Conflict Risks -- China -- Russia -- North Korea -- Failed State Risks -- Venezuela -- Nigeria -- Libya -- Nonstate Risks -- Isis -- PKK -- Cyber -- Life Support -- Resistance -- Collapse -- Compromise -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 11 .
America’s History of Protectionism -- Critical Thinking Questions -- Part III Societal Influences on U.S. Foreign Policy -- 12 Background to “Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent U.S. Elections” -- The Analytic Process -- Scope and Sourcing -- Scope -- Sourcing -- Key Judgments -- Russia’s Influence Campaign Targeting the 2016 US Presidential Election -- Putin Ordered Campaign To Influence US Election -- Russian Campaign Was Multifaceted -- Cyber Espionage Against US Political Organizations -- Public Disclosures of Russian-Collected Data -- Russian Cyber Intrusions Into State and Local Electoral Boards -- Russian Propaganda Efforts -- Influence Effort Was Boldest Yet in the US -- Election Operation Signals “New Normal” in Russian Influence Efforts -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 13 Millennials and U.S. Foreign Policy -- Millennial Foreign Policy Views: Less Worried, More Restrained -- The End of the Cold War -- The 9/11 Attacks -- Afghanistan, Iraq, and the War on Terror -- The More Things Change . . . Millennials and the Persistence of Partisan Polarization -- Foreign Policy in the Millennial Age -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 14 The Courage Crisis -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 15 Understanding Authorizations for the Use of Military Force -- The President’s Legal Authority for Military Action -- Historical Congressional Authorizations of Force -- The President’s Article Il Powers -- War Powers and the Conflict with ISIS -- What an ISIS AUMF Should Look Like -- Targeting ISIS -- Determining the Extent of Military Engagement -- Determining a Conclusion to Military Action -- Conclusion -- Critical Thinking Questions -- Part IV Institutions and U.S. Foreign Policy -- 16 Reforming the NSA -- The Great Compromise? -- Threat Assessment -- Spy Game -- The Chamber of Secrets -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 17 The Trump Foreign Policy Transition -- Presidential Transition Challenges -- Government by Amateurs -- Solving the Jig Saw Puzzle -- Promises to Keep -- The Clean Slate Syndrome -- Fumbled Information Handoffs -- Only One President at a Time -- The Trump Transition -- Government by Amateurs -- Solving the Jig Saw Puzzle -- Promises to Keep -- The Clean Slate Syndrome -- Fumbled Information Handoffs -- Only One President at a Time -- Conclusion: Inauguration + 30 Days -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 18 The Future of the Army -- What We Found -- Force Structure, Readiness, and Modernization -- Developing One Army -- A History of Readiness Crises -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 19 Moving Targets -- The Rise of Smart Sanctions -- Control, Change, Communicate -- The Spectrum of Sanctions -- Are Smart Sanctions Wise? Perspectives from Iran and Libya -- A Broader Look at Efficacy -- Critical Thinking Questions -- Part V Responses -- 20 R2P -- R2P as a Normative Force -- R2P as an Institutional Catalyst -- R2P as a Preventive Framework -- R2P as a Reactive Framework -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 21 A Tale of Two Trade D.
eals -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 22 Cybersecurity and Tailored Deterrence -- 1. Tailored Deterrence -- 2. Cyber Sanctions -- 3. Certified Entities And Active Defense -- 4. Focused Standards For Protection And Resilience—Electric Grid And Finance -- 5. Like-Minded Nations -- Conclusion -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 23 The Human Element -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 24 Global Trends 2030 -- National Intelligence Council -- Megatrends and Related Tectonic Shifts -- Megatrend 1: Individual Empowerment -- Megatrend 2: Diffusion of Power -- Megatrend 3: Demographic Patterns -- Megatrend 4: Growing Food, Water, and Energy Nexus -- Game-Changers -- Game-Changer 1: The Crisis-Prone Global Economy -- Game-Changer 2: The Governance Gap -- Game-Changer 3: Potential for Increased Conflict -- Game-Changer 4: Wider Scope of Regional Instability -- Game-Changer 5: The Impact of New Technologies -- Game-Changer 6: The Role of the United States -- Alternative Worlds -- Stalled Engines -- Fusion -- Gini Out-of-the-Bottle* -- Nonstate World -- Critical Thinking Questions -- Part VI Emerging Issues -- 25 More Small Wars -- The Best-Laid Plans -- Think Again -- Strategic Staffing -- Training Day -- Speaking in Tongues -- The Rifleman on the Corner -- Basing Instinct -- Managing Mercenaries -- Playing Nice Together -- The Long Haul -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 26 A Critical Decade for Climate Policy -- Background and Context -- Defining “Climate Policy Tracking” -- Objectives of Climate Policy Tracking -- Results and Discussion -- Landscape Mapping -- Policy Development -- Policy Adoption -- Policy Implementation -- Conclusions and Recommendations -- Conclusions -- Recommendations -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 27 Is the U.S. Drone War Effective? -- Defining Effectiveness -- Tactic or Strategy? -- Weak Links -- Counting Casualties -- Risking Revenge -- Pakistani Backlash -- Afghan Grandstanding -- Long-Term Dangers -- Critical Thinking Questions -- 28 From Scarcity to Abundance -- The Scarcity Mantra -- The Fracking Phenomenon -- Rising Renewables -- Pivoting Away -- Strapped Petro-States -- Green Superpowers? -- Critical Thinking Questions -- .
