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In this ambitious work a leading scholar undertakes a full-scale reconceptualization of international relations. Turbulence in World Politics is an entirely new formulation that accounts for the persistent turmoil of today's world, even as it also probes the impact of the microelectronic revolution, the postindustrial order, and the many other fundamental political, economic, and social changes under way since World War II. To develop this formulation, James N. Rosenau digs deep into the workings of communities and the orientations of individuals that culminate in collective action on the world stage. His concern is less with questions of epistemology and methodology and more with the development of a comprehensive theoryone that is different from other paradigms in the field by virtue of its focus on the tumult in contemporary international relations. The book depicts a bifurcation of global politics in which an autonomous multi-centric world has emerged as a competitor of the long established state-centric world. A central theme is that the analytic skills of people everywhere are expanding and thereby altering the context in which international processes unfold. Rosenau shows how the macro structures of global politics have undergone transformations linked to those at the micro level: long-standing structures of authority weaken, collectivities fragment, subgroups become more powerful at the expense of states and governments, national loyalties are redirected, and new issues crowd onto the global agenda. These turbulent dynamics foster the simultaneous centralizing and decentralizing tendencies that are now bifurcating global structures. "Rosenau's new work is an imaginative leap into world politics in the twenty-first century. There is much here to challenge traditional thought of every persuasion." --Michael Brecher, McGill University

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CONTENTS

List of Figures = ⅸ

List of Tables = xi

Preface = xiii

PART ONE: ORGANIZED OVERVIEW

 CHAPTER 1 PREVIEWING POSTINTERNATIONAL POLITICS = 3

 CHAPTER 2 JUSTIFYING JAILBREAKS: The Limits of Contemporary Concepts and Methods = 21

PART TWO: ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS

 CHAPTER 3 DELINEATING DISORDER: Chaos, Complexity, and Change = 47

 CHAPTER 4 CONCEPTUALIZING CHANGE: Fluctuations and Transformations = 67

 CHAPTER 5 TRACING TURBULENCE: The History of Three Parameters = 91

 CHAPTER 6 ANALYZING ACTORS: Individuals and Collectivities = 114

 CHAPTER 7 MIXING MICRO-MACRO: The Aggregation of Parts and the Disaggregation of Wholes = 141

PART THREE: PROBING PARAMETERS

 CHAPTER 8 REVIEWING RELATIONSHIPS: Authority and Its Alternatives = 181

 CHAPTER 9 INVESTIGATING INDIVIDUALS: Roles, Scenarios, Habits, and Learning = 210

 CHAPTER 10 STUDYING STRUCTURES: The Two Worlds of World Politics = 243

 CHAPTER 11 PONDERING PROCESSES: Centralizing and Decentralizing Dynamics = 297

PART FOUR: TURBULENT TRANSFORMATIONS

 CHAPTER 12 ENHANCED ELITES: Information, Wisdom, and Artificial Intelligence = 315

 CHAPTER 13 POWERFUL PEOPLE: The Expansion of Analytic Skills = 33

 CHAPTER 14 RELATIONSHIPS REVISED: Proliferating Subgroups, Weakened Governments, and Eroded Authority = 388

 CHAPTER 15 NASCENT NORMS: Legitimacy, Patriotism, and Sovereignty = 416

PART FIVE: SEEKING SOLUTIONS

 CHAPTER 16 BEYOND TURBULENCE: Four Scenarios and a Cyclical Process = 443

Index = 463