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Decision making under risk and uncertainty : new models and empirical findings

Decision making under risk and uncertainty : new models and empirical findings (Loan 7 times)

Material type
단행본
Personal Author
Geweke, John.
Title Statement
Decision making under risk and uncertainty : new models and empirical findings / edited by John Geweke.
Publication, Distribution, etc
Dordrecht ;   Boston :   Kluwer Academic Publishers ,   c1992.  
Physical Medium
ix, 260 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Series Statement
Theory and decision library. Series B,. Mathematical and statistical methods ; v. 22.
ISBN
0792319044 (HB : acid free paper)
General Note
Selection of papers from the Fifth International Conference on the Foundation and Applications of Utility, Risk, and Decision Theories, held June 9-13, 1990, at Duke University.  
Bibliography, Etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references.
Subject Added Entry-Topical Term
Risk --Mathematical models --Congresses. Uncertainty (Information theory) --Congresses. Decision-making --Mathematical models --Congresses.
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010 ▼a 92001690
020 ▼a 0792319044 (HB : acid free paper)
035 ▼a 92001690
040 ▼a DLC ▼c DLC ▼d DLC
050 0 0 ▼a HD30.23 ▼b .D3827 1992
082 0 0 ▼a 658.4/0352 ▼2 20
090 ▼a 658.4 ▼b G396d
245 0 0 ▼a Decision making under risk and uncertainty : ▼b new models and empirical findings / ▼c edited by John Geweke.
260 ▼a Dordrecht ; ▼a Boston : ▼b Kluwer Academic Publishers , ▼c c1992.
300 ▼a ix, 260 p. : ▼b ill. ; ▼c 25 cm.
440 0 ▼a Theory and decision library. ▼n Series B,. ▼p Mathematical and statistical methods ; ▼v v. 22.
500 ▼a Selection of papers from the Fifth International Conference on the Foundation and Applications of Utility, Risk, and Decision Theories, held June 9-13, 1990, at Duke University.
504 ▼a Includes bibliographical references.
650 0 ▼a Risk ▼x Mathematical models ▼x Congresses.
650 0 ▼a Uncertainty (Information theory) ▼x Congresses.
650 0 ▼a Decision-making ▼x Mathematical models ▼x Congresses.
700 1 0 ▼a Geweke, John.

Holdings Information

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No. 1 Location Main Library/Education Reserves1/ Call Number 658.4 G396d Accession No. 412919124 (7회 대출) Availability Available Due Date Make a Reservation Service B M

Contents information

Book Introduction

As desired, the infonnation demand correspondence is single valued at equilibrium prices. Hence no planner is needed to assign infonnation allocations to individuals. Proposition 4. For any given infonnation price system p E . P (F *), almost every a E A demands a unique combined infonnation structure (although traders may be indifferent among partial infonnation sales from different information allocations, etc. ). In particular, the aggregate excess demand correspondence for net combined infonnation trades is a continuous function. Proof Uniqueness fails only if an agent can obtain the same expected utility from two or more net combined infonnation allocations. If this happens, appropriate slight perturbations of personal probability vectors destroy the equality unless the utility functions and wealth allocations were independent across states. Yet, when utilities and wealths don't depend on states in S, no infonnation to distinguish the states is desired, so that the demand for such infonnation structures must equal zero. To show the second claim, recall that if the correspondence is single valued for almost every agent, then its integral is also single valued. Finally, note that an upper hemicontinuous (by Proposition 2) correspondence which is single valued everywhere is, in fact, a continuous function. [] REFERENCES Allen, Beth (1986a). "The Demand for (Differentiated) Infonnation"; Review of Economic Studies. 53. (311-323). Allen, Beth (1986b). "General Equilibrium with Infonnation Sales"; Theory and Decision. 21. (1-33). Allen, Beth (1990). "Infonnation as an Economic Commodity"; American Economic Review. 80. (268-273).

As desired, the infonnation demand correspondence is single valued at equilibrium prices. Hence no planner is needed to assign infonnation allocations to individuals. Proposition 4. For any given infonnation price system p E . P (F *), almost every a E A demands a unique combined infonnation structure (although traders may be indifferent among partial infonnation sales from different information allocations, etc. ). In particular, the aggregate excess demand correspondence for net combined infonnation trades is a continuous function. Proof Uniqueness fails only if an agent can obtain the same expected utility from two or more net combined infonnation allocations. If this happens, appropriate slight perturbations of personal probability vectors destroy the equality unless the utility functions and wealth allocations were independent across states. Yet, when utilities and wealths don't depend on states in S, no infonnation to distinguish the states is desired, so that the demand for such infonnation structures must equal zero. To show the second claim, recall that if the correspondence is single valued for almost every agent, then its integral is also single valued. Finally, note that an upper hemicontinuous (by Proposition 2) correspondence which is single valued everywhere is, in fact, a continuous function. [] REFERENCES Allen, Beth (1986a). "The Demand for (Differentiated) Infonnation"; Review of Economic Studies. 53. (311-323). Allen, Beth (1986b). "General Equilibrium with Infonnation Sales"; Theory and Decision. 21. (1-33). Allen, Beth (1990). "Infonnation as an Economic Commodity"; American Economic Review. 80. (268-273).


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Table of Contents


CONTENTS
Ⅰ. Expected Utility Theory : Extensions
 Nontransitive Preferences and Normative Decision Theory / PETER C. FISHBURN = 3
 Healthy Scepticism as an Expected - Utility Evolution of the Ellsberg Paradox / JOSEPH B. KADANE = 11
 Intertemporal Risk - Aversion and Calibration Uncertainty May Explain Violations of the Independence Axiom / ROBERT F. BORDLEY ; GORDON B. HAZEN = 17
 Decision Versus Policy : An Expected Utility Resolution of the Ellsberg Paradox / GORDON B. HAZEN = 25
 Comparative Statics for Endogenous Risk / JASON F. SHOGREN = 37
 Deterministic Transformations : Some Comparative Statistics Results / MICHAEL B. ORMISTON = 43
 Defining the Mean - Preserving Spread : 3-PT Versus 4-PT / ERIC RASMUSEN ; EMMANUEL PETRAKIS = 53
Ⅱ. Expected Utility Theory : Alternatives
 A Descriptive Model and a Decision Technique / OLE HAGEN = 61
 Risk Aversion Measures with Expected and Non - Expected Utility / ALDO MONTESANO = 69
 Linear Lexicographic State - Depended Utility / IRVING H. LAVALLE ; PETER C. FISHBURN = 83
 On the Foundations of Decision Making Under Partial Information / DAVID RIOS INSUA = 93
 The Bayesian Model of Conditional Preference and Trade Under Uncertainty / TOMAS PHILIPSON = 101
 Consumption Style as Choice Under Risk Static Choice, Dynamic Irrationality and Crimes of Passion / JEROME ROTHENBERG = 105
Ⅲ. Evidence from Experiments
 The Effect of Explicit Probability Estimates on Violations of Subjective Expected Utility Theory in the Allais Paradox / IDO EREV = 117
 Testing Alternative Representations of Behavior Under Uncertainty / GARY GIGLIOTTI ; BARRY SOPHER = 125
 Generic Utility : Measurements of Risk Functions and their Robustness / ROMAN KRZYSTOFOWICZ = 133
 Studies on Judgemental Probability Forecasting / GENE ROWE ; GEORGE WRIGHT ; FERGUS BOLGER = 143
 Risk Attitude, Strength of Preference and Relative Risk Attitude : An Assessment with Multiple Indicators / ALE SMIDTS = 151
Ⅳ. Information, Learning and Equilibrium
 A Simple Model of Partial Information Exchange Among Individuals with Different Subjective Probabilities / BETH ALLEN = 163
 Tests for a Reservation Wage Effect / JAMES C. COX ; RONALD L. OAXACA = 171
 Market Uncertainty and Belief Formation with a Finite Number of Events / BERTRAND R. MUNIER = 179
 Arbitrage, Rationality, and Equilibrium / ROBERT F. NAU ; KEVIN F. MCCARDLE = 189
 Adaptive Behavior in Games / PATRICK MCALLISTER = 201
 An Experimental Investigation of Focal Points in Coordination and Bargaining : Some Preliminary Results / JUDITH MEHTA ; CHRIS STARMER ; ROBERT SUGDEN = 211
 Some Versions of Newcomb's Problem are Prisoners' Dilemmas / JORDAN HOWARD SOBEL = 221
 Foundations for the Theory of Rational Choice with Vague Priors / KLAUS NEHRING = 231
 Public Knowledge About Indoor Randon :The Effects of Risk Communication / ANN BOSTROM ; CYNTHIA J. ATMAN ; BARUCH FISCHOFF ; M. GRANGER MORGAN = 243
 Risk Perceptions and Risk Taking in the Presence of Multiple Risks / STEVEN R. ELLIOTT ; MICHAEL MCKEE = 253


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