상세정보

Every few centuries, the world changes in a profound way. Not just gradually, but dramatically and forever. Such periods of rapid change become the markers of new historical eras, as singular and profound as the shift from hunter-gatherer bands to agricultural society and the transition from the agricultural to the industrial era. In the West, we are now living through such a period as our economy moves from one of industry to that of knowledge. Global Trends 2005 looks at the changes this shift produces and lays out a roadmap for the next decade.

정보제공 :

CONTENTS
Acknowledgments = ⅴ
INTRODUCTION : A TRANSFORMATION OF HUMAN SOCIETY = 1
TREND ONE : THE FOUNDATIONS = 25
 1. A Story of Two Worlds = 29
 2. A Price Spike Economy = 49
 3. A Foundation of Human Perception : Culture = 65
TREND TWO : THE ENGINES OF HISTORY = 71
 4. The Engines : Science and Technology = 73
 5. The Engines : Social and Psychological = 85
 6. Chaos and Complexity Theory = 93
 7. Where Are They Taking Us? = 99
TREND THREE : A HUMAN RESOURCES ECONOMY = 115
 8. A New Kind of Economy = 117
 9. The Reorganization of Work = 123
 10. Other Aspects of the New Economy = 133
 11. Conflict in the knowledge Era = 151
TREND FOUR : AN ERA OF GLOBAL TRIBES = 157
 12. The Process of Globalization = 159
 13. Tribalism, Fragmentation, and Pluralism = 175
 14. Tribalism with Globalism = 187
TREND FIVE : A TRANSFORMATION OF AUTHORITY = 195
 15. Phase One : The Decline of Hierarchical Authorities = 197
 16. Implications : Social Instability and a Political Crisis = 213
 17. Phase Two : The Rise of New Authoriries = 217
TREND SIX : A TEST OF HUMAN PSYCHOLOGY = 237
 18. "In Over Our Heads" : Postmodern Life and Human Psychology = 239
 19. A Habit of Alienation = 249
 20. The "Pessimism Syndrome" = 261
CONCLUSION TOWARD A NEW SOCIETY = 279
 21. A New Kind of Society = 283
 22. The Authors of Our Own Destiny = 295
Notes = 297
Index = 323